Well That Was Annoying
First the good news ... I finaly won a tourny. Granted it was only a 10 dollar single table, but right now I'll take what I can get. Seriously, lately my tournies have all been tremendous successes right up until some craptacular hand knocks me out at the bubble. Maybe not craptacular... its not like the other guy is calling with bad hands that turn good, its more often that the pokergods set me up in a spectacular fashion so that I have the 2nd best hand possible at the table. It didn't happen in this tourny, and consequently I won the whole thing. However, the Mookie would set the universe back in order.
I don't even know what to say about this. I played really well. I got lucky a few times, but I think anytime you "see" 49 flops and you win 39 of them, you're not just playing for 1 and 2 outers. Really, I folded some monsters during that game. Dropped AJo 3 different times against multiple all-ins and was right to do so. It was weird last night. I swear I could see everyone's cards. I don't think I'm actually getting a "read" on anyone... it was way more specific than that. I could see value and even suit in thier hand. On those acejacks I laid down, it was because I saw pocket pairs and or AK or AQ that they were holding and sure enough I was 100% right. Of course, often you can't walk away from a hand even when you KNOW the other guys cards.
And thus, my cowboys went brokeback mountain on me. There is about 12 people left in the tourny, and I am in solid 3rd place with around 12000 in chips. I'm on the button and get dealt KK. the folding begins, and I look to my left. BB and SB are the two smallest stacks at the table... 4100 for BB and about 4500 for SB. I look to my left and my pokervision goggles allow me to see that the SB has A-rag (I think I "saw A-7" in reality... I think it was an A-8)... so I KNOW that he's going to try to push. He has to. Everyone folds to me and I simply call, I want that SB all-in here, and I want him to think I'm playing my usual crap. Sure enough, he pushes to all in, and I start to do my evil laugh. Then all of a sudden the BB goes all in. I hear brakes screeching to a halt... I forgot to "look" at his cards. The second I do, I see AA. I even have to type in the chat "ah damn". Its 1/3 of my stack. I KNOW the Ks are bust going into it. I consider folding them. Seriously, I wonder if anyone would believe me if I folded them and then said I have pocket Ks but I KNEW he had pocket As. Of course not. I can't bring myself to hit that call button, because I've seen fulltilt do this to me every tourny for like the last 7 tournies I've been in. Finally, I HAVE to convince myself that 1)its 1/3 of my stack risked, but the payout gurantees me a high money spot. 2)I KNOW that the SB has an A with a weak to mid kicker so at least there is a little less chance for trips for that guy 3) if I lose it, I'm hardly out of the game, but I'm more likely to bubble or get min money. I hated doing it, but I called. The hands were EXACTLY what I saw and I'm knocked down to almost the shortstack on the final table.
Unfortunately for me, the slight tilt which that put me on clouded up my card radar. I was back to just getting a sort of "read", but not knowing the exact hands. So I fold like 5 hands into the final table, steal one blind with total horseshit (sorry smokkee... you raised and I reraised with 4 7 off just to prove I could) until I got AQ suited in the BB. Midposition guy min raises it. My radar, which is a little cloudy right now, tells me he has a pocket pair... however, the best I can tell you is that its not AA-JJ... How do I know. I just do. I'm reading 6s or 7s. I'm hoping that he's too scared of being against overs or overpair that he won't screw with a push. Although, I know that if my re-raise doesn't work, I'll basically HAVE to go all in from the chip position I'll be in. I re-raise to a healthy amount (I think the initial was 1200... I bump it to 3500). He pauses for a little bit then goes all-in. I type in the chat..."I think he has me with his pocket pair", but this is do or die time. Blinds are at 600 about to move up... because I bet so much previously, I only have like 3000 in chips left. I KNOW i have overs and a nut flush draw. I have to do it. I call, and he rolls over the pocket 10s... damn. Had I seen 10s, I wouldn't have tried the over bet. I know from experience that people will fold 5s,6s, even 7s on occasion, but no one at the final table against a shorterstack folds 10s. I pray really hard for an Ace or Queen to spike, and my prayers are answered by a 10 on the turn.[shakes fist at sky]THERE IS NO GOD!!!![/shakes fist]. Out 10th.
Oh well... at least the cash tables are still treating me well... but I'm starting to look forward to online poker becomming illegal. It will add 10 years to my life.
___ADDENDUM____
The more I think about it, the more I think those Ks were just a bad call. I know people are going to say "but he could have been pushing with anything". and normaly I'd say that was true, but last night, in that hand, at that moment... I KNEW they were aces. It was Time/Life Mysteries of The Universe wacky premonition shit going on. Hell, I know the odds of Ks v As... I'm like 20% tops... I don't think it improves any, even with the 3rd person in the hand holding an ace. In fact, I think it makes my hand worse and the AA a little worse to give the other ace a few percentage points. The whole night, I was having 2nd sight into the hands around me... I should have trusted that. I don't really know how to figure pot odds... however, I'll say that I stood to make 9000 by investing 4500, roughly... thats just 2 to 1... if I'm thinking about it in the correct way. The funny thing is had we all limped with regular hands and I found myself 4 to the flush with only the river left... I wouldn't have called that bet... and thats at about the same odds. I don't know, all of this is probably a hindsight 20/20 thing. There is a clock counting down that keeps you from doing this type of analysis at the table... however, my instinct STRONGLY favored folding... I should have went with that.
I don't even know what to say about this. I played really well. I got lucky a few times, but I think anytime you "see" 49 flops and you win 39 of them, you're not just playing for 1 and 2 outers. Really, I folded some monsters during that game. Dropped AJo 3 different times against multiple all-ins and was right to do so. It was weird last night. I swear I could see everyone's cards. I don't think I'm actually getting a "read" on anyone... it was way more specific than that. I could see value and even suit in thier hand. On those acejacks I laid down, it was because I saw pocket pairs and or AK or AQ that they were holding and sure enough I was 100% right. Of course, often you can't walk away from a hand even when you KNOW the other guys cards.
And thus, my cowboys went brokeback mountain on me. There is about 12 people left in the tourny, and I am in solid 3rd place with around 12000 in chips. I'm on the button and get dealt KK. the folding begins, and I look to my left. BB and SB are the two smallest stacks at the table... 4100 for BB and about 4500 for SB. I look to my left and my pokervision goggles allow me to see that the SB has A-rag (I think I "saw A-7" in reality... I think it was an A-8)... so I KNOW that he's going to try to push. He has to. Everyone folds to me and I simply call, I want that SB all-in here, and I want him to think I'm playing my usual crap. Sure enough, he pushes to all in, and I start to do my evil laugh. Then all of a sudden the BB goes all in. I hear brakes screeching to a halt... I forgot to "look" at his cards. The second I do, I see AA. I even have to type in the chat "ah damn". Its 1/3 of my stack. I KNOW the Ks are bust going into it. I consider folding them. Seriously, I wonder if anyone would believe me if I folded them and then said I have pocket Ks but I KNEW he had pocket As. Of course not. I can't bring myself to hit that call button, because I've seen fulltilt do this to me every tourny for like the last 7 tournies I've been in. Finally, I HAVE to convince myself that 1)its 1/3 of my stack risked, but the payout gurantees me a high money spot. 2)I KNOW that the SB has an A with a weak to mid kicker so at least there is a little less chance for trips for that guy 3) if I lose it, I'm hardly out of the game, but I'm more likely to bubble or get min money. I hated doing it, but I called. The hands were EXACTLY what I saw and I'm knocked down to almost the shortstack on the final table.
Unfortunately for me, the slight tilt which that put me on clouded up my card radar. I was back to just getting a sort of "read", but not knowing the exact hands. So I fold like 5 hands into the final table, steal one blind with total horseshit (sorry smokkee... you raised and I reraised with 4 7 off just to prove I could) until I got AQ suited in the BB. Midposition guy min raises it. My radar, which is a little cloudy right now, tells me he has a pocket pair... however, the best I can tell you is that its not AA-JJ... How do I know. I just do. I'm reading 6s or 7s. I'm hoping that he's too scared of being against overs or overpair that he won't screw with a push. Although, I know that if my re-raise doesn't work, I'll basically HAVE to go all in from the chip position I'll be in. I re-raise to a healthy amount (I think the initial was 1200... I bump it to 3500). He pauses for a little bit then goes all-in. I type in the chat..."I think he has me with his pocket pair", but this is do or die time. Blinds are at 600 about to move up... because I bet so much previously, I only have like 3000 in chips left. I KNOW i have overs and a nut flush draw. I have to do it. I call, and he rolls over the pocket 10s... damn. Had I seen 10s, I wouldn't have tried the over bet. I know from experience that people will fold 5s,6s, even 7s on occasion, but no one at the final table against a shorterstack folds 10s. I pray really hard for an Ace or Queen to spike, and my prayers are answered by a 10 on the turn.[shakes fist at sky]THERE IS NO GOD!!!![/shakes fist]. Out 10th.
Oh well... at least the cash tables are still treating me well... but I'm starting to look forward to online poker becomming illegal. It will add 10 years to my life.
___ADDENDUM____
The more I think about it, the more I think those Ks were just a bad call. I know people are going to say "but he could have been pushing with anything". and normaly I'd say that was true, but last night, in that hand, at that moment... I KNEW they were aces. It was Time/Life Mysteries of The Universe wacky premonition shit going on. Hell, I know the odds of Ks v As... I'm like 20% tops... I don't think it improves any, even with the 3rd person in the hand holding an ace. In fact, I think it makes my hand worse and the AA a little worse to give the other ace a few percentage points. The whole night, I was having 2nd sight into the hands around me... I should have trusted that. I don't really know how to figure pot odds... however, I'll say that I stood to make 9000 by investing 4500, roughly... thats just 2 to 1... if I'm thinking about it in the correct way. The funny thing is had we all limped with regular hands and I found myself 4 to the flush with only the river left... I wouldn't have called that bet... and thats at about the same odds. I don't know, all of this is probably a hindsight 20/20 thing. There is a clock counting down that keeps you from doing this type of analysis at the table... however, my instinct STRONGLY favored folding... I should have went with that.
posted by Marxst1 at
11:38 AM
|
8 comments
